North American markets declined shortly after the open as data on new home sales in the US was lower than expected, and ahead of the Fed’s policy announcement due later this morning. No move in interest rates is expected, and considering the Senate is set to vote tomorrow to decide whether or not Bernanke receives a second term as Fed Chair, it’s unlikely that anything in the announcement will even slightly rock the boat. President Obama will deliver his State of the Union Address at 6pm this evening. Profit reports have been largely positive with companies such as Johnson & Johnson, United Technologies and Caterpillar delivering higher than expected numbers, although the revenue rebound remains sluggish. The TSX is down 36 pts. The Dow is down 29 pts.
The Canadian dollar is down 35 bps to US$.9379 as the rush into US dollars continues. The yield on the one-month US T-Bill is actually negative this morning due to the surge in demand and reduced supply as the Treasury Dept. tries to force money into longer dated issues. Bond yields have come off in Canada to 2.39% for the 5-year bond and 3.30% for the ten. Gold is down $5.30 to US$1093/oz. Oil is flat at US$74.77/barrel.

